By allowing ads to appear on this site, you support the local businesses who, in turn, support great journalism.
Statesboro’s biggest annexation yet could add 1,794 households in 10 years
Blue Fern Village plan adds to Burkhalter Road traffic concerns
This early concept plan for the Blue Fern Village development on Burkhalter Road shows the 714.4-acre tract proposed for annexation into Statesboro as originally sketched for 1,800 to 2,100 housing units. The plan has been revised down to 1,794 units, plu
This early concept plan for the Blue Fern Village development on Burkhalter Road shows the 714.4-acre tract proposed for annexation into Statesboro as originally sketched for 1,800 to 2,100 housing units. The plan has been revised down to 1,794 units, plus some "non-residential" commercial development in the strip nearest the road. (Source: Bulloch County Planning Services; image by Blue Fern Development)

Statesboro’s city planning and development office notified its Bulloch County counterpart earlier this month of a property owner’s request to have a 714-acre tract of land annexed into the city limits for a subdivision that could eventually contain 1,800 to 2,100 housing units.

The concept plan has since been revised downward to 1,794 units, but this remains Statesboro’s largest annexation request, and largest single subdivision plan, in memory.

The city’s notice to the county was dated July 2.  The city also notified the Bulloch County Schools district office, as required under state law for annexations. Because of the size of the proposed Blue Fern Village development on Burkhalter Road, a “Development of Regional Impact” report was also required. The Coastal Regional Commission of Georgia prepared the DRI report for the city of Statesboro, completing it July 17.

Now the annexation request is slated to go to City Council for a public hearing during its second regular meeting of August, at 5:30 p.m. Aug. 20. Meanwhile, the city Planning Commission, which no longer has a direct role in annexation, is slated to consider requests during its 5 p.m. Aug. 6 meeting from Blue Fern Management LLC for a zoning change from the default R-40 to Planned Unit Development and a “mixed use” variance to also allow small commercial developments within the area proposed to be annexed.

Like a series of smaller annexations Statesboro has completed in the past several years, this large one is being requested by the owners and developer. Asked if city officials want to annex the property, Statesboro City Manager Charles Penny noted that annexation is the only way the city can grow in area and that Georgia’s laws make a city-initiated annexation difficult.

“The only way the city grows is through annexation, and our council, in the time that I’ve been here, they have not done any city-initiated annexation,” he said Wednesday in a phone interview. “Our laws are not necessarily designed in a way that makes it really advantageous for cities just to annex. The way we annex is by people voluntarily coming forward to be annexed.”

 

Owners and developer

As of the July 2 notice, the owner of the tract, which is on the west side of Burkhalter Road and south of the current city limits and Excalibur Court, was JCWSJR LLC, but the annexation application request form also shows Jeff Pope beside the LLC name as owner. The county Board of Tax Assessors database lists an April 2021 “no sale” transfer of the property by previous owners Jeff Pope and Ronnie Pope, who are local, to the limited-liability company.

Blue Fern Development, a Redmond, Washington-based company, is identified as developer on the conceptual plans.

“Annexation is important for us to be able to grow as a city, and that’s how we grow our tax base,” Penny continued. “So, are we interested in being able to grow? Yes, that’s a part of operating a city. … Why would we grow? We’ve got demand for housing; the city has the infrastructure, the water and sewer. People that are developing want to be able to use our infrastructure.”

Conceptual plans available to the Herald at this point were those from the packet that Statesboro city Planning and Housing Administrator Justin Williams sent to Bulloch County Planning and Development Director James Pope (who is not related to the property owners) on July 2. They give the range of 1,800 to 2,100 total housing units, but this has been reduced to 1,794 units, Williams said July 24.

A notice he sent for publication in the newspaper of development requests going to the council for Aug. 20 hearings cites the 1,794-unit total for the rezoning.

 

Mix of housing

Housing types within the development would include townhomes, duplexes, “casitas” or small cottages and single-family homes on lots ranging from 3,500 square feet to 6,200 square feet, according to the concept drawings. Not all of the area would or could be developed. The drawings show clusters of housing lots, accessed by loops of subdivision streets, nestled around some central regions of “preserved jurisdictional wetlands.”

The proposal calls for the large subdivision to be developed in up to six phases. With each phase afforded 18 months, they would take nine years to develop, if construction occurs without overlap between phases. The anticipated timing of the first phase is state as Q3 2025-Q1 2027, so beginning third quarter 2025, or roughly one year or more from now.

 

Burkhalter traffic

With previously approved development, city and county officials were already discussing the traffic load on Burkhalter Road as a concern. Within the DRI report, a two-page submission by the Bulloch County government, with County Manager Tom Couch’s name at the end, focuses on this issue.

He noted that Blue Fern Village would abut Burkhalter road in unincorporated Bulloch County for 1.2 miles, with a total length of 2.6 miles from intersection to intersection.

“There is no known traffic study that has been performed, but at build out the development could generate in excess of 20,000 trips per day,” the county’s submission states. It notes that the road condition is currently level of service “A” but adds that this “could decline.”

“The base construction of Burkhalter Road is not favorable to the level of traffic proposed,” states the county’s section of the DRI report. It also states that the developer would be required to agree “to commit a proportionate share of capital improvements” to be identified in a traffic study.

Since last fall, the county and city have had a planning and engineering firm, Goodwyn Mills Cawood working with them on a new, shared Long-Range Transportation Plan for 2025-2045. Local officials hope this plan will be completed by the end of 2024, but it alone will not answer all the questions related to Burkhalter Road and the newly proposed development, which will require a more specific kind of study and planning.

“Traffic impact analysis is always going to be needed on these type projects,” Penny said. “The Transportation Master Plan is more global in looking at our needs. The traffic impact analysis gets more granular, or gets down into the details of how these neighborhoods are going to be impacted.”

The DRI report gives an estimate of $600 million for the Blue Fern Village development’s economic impact at complete build-out.

The Ogeechee Riverkeeper organization contributed a lengthy statement to the report, calling for protection of Little Lotts Creek and for the city to prioritize construction in the less environmentally sensitive portions of the property.

Sign up for the Herald's free e-newsletter
Development chief and commissioner report: Homes ‘in pipeline’ exceed Bulloch’s alleged ‘housing deficit’
Private investors’ Statesboro, Brooklet and rural area projects could yield 8,800 residences in 5 years
Pope - houses in pipeline
James Pope, center, Bulloch County's planning and development director, and Dal Cannady, left, communications director, position the slide for Pope's Aug. 5 update on the number of housing units in various permitting stages through to construction. Behind them, on the dais, is Commissioner Ray Davis, who requested the report and commented on it. (AL HACKLE/staff)

A recent report by the county's Planning and Development Director James Pope with commentary by Commissioner Ray Davis suggests that developers already have more than enough homes planned and "in the pipeline" to meet Bulloch County's alleged housing deficit — that is, based on raw numbers of housing units. The brief, informal report and summation during the Bulloch County Board of Commissioners regular meeting on Aug. 5 did not address housing types or affordability.

The Center for Economic Development Research, or CEDR, at the Georgia Institute of Technology completed the $200,000 study of regional housing needs and demand for Bryan, Bulloch, Effingham and Chatham counties in March. Localized findings were then presented at a joint, public meeting of Statesboro city government, Bulloch County government and Board of Education representatives held at Ogeechee Technical College in July.

That study indicated that Bulloch County faced an eight-year "housing deficit" of 7,815 home units, resulting in a "target" need of 977 newly built units each year on average. Researchers had considered both the "organic growth" in population already occurring in Bulloch and the other counties and a "Hyundai effect" projected as a result of the construction and opening of Hyundai Motor Group Metaplant America in northern Bryan County and of Hyundai's supplier manufacturers, including several now operating in Bulloch.

During the Aug. 5 meeting, citizens packed the commissioners' boardroom to its seating capacity over concerns about several zoning matters, especially changes from agricultural to residential uses. But before going into the particulars of the zoning requests, Pope asked for a moment to fulfill a request from commissioners. Chairman David Bennett told him to go ahead.

"As a result of the Georgia Tech housing study," Pope said, a few of the commissioners had asked him "to try to get an idea of what the housing numbers are in the pipeline for development."

Projects Pope considers to be in that figurative pipeline, he explained, include those beginning with a "sketch plan," which involves a formal approval by the county Planning and Zoning Commission, then those projects working their way through preliminary planning, and then a final plat for a subdivision, "which makes lots available for sale," then actual construction.

"Currently," or as of the first week of August, there were 1,820 lots approved in design, construction or ready for a building permit, and thus "likely to be permitted" over the next two to five years in the unincorporated parts of the county, Pope reported.

"Again, that's the number of lots that we would think in the next two to five years would likely build out," Pope said. "Obviously, the economy would have some impact on that if things slow down or whatnot." 

Additionally, he counted 332 units as "under review" this month and next and another 724 units in proposed plans for which zoning has been approved since 2021 and so are "considered likely to develop in 2–5 years."

Adding the subtotals of those 1,820 permitted or likely to be permitted lots, the 332 "under review" units and the 724 "considered likely to develop," he arrived at a sum of 2,876 units "in the pipeline," for only the area outside the cities and towns and therefore under county zoning and development jurisdiction. He acknowledged that this was actually too precise, being "down to the lot number" when permits and plans "vary from day to day."

Statesboro's 5,000+

Looking beyond the county staff's jurisdiction to provide the commissioners' information on Bulloch County as a whole, Pope had also gathered the numbers reported by the cities of Statesboro and Brooklet. All of this was on an extended slide, scrolled down on the screens in the commissioners' boardroom.

Statesboro officials had provided counts of 1,256 housing units "under construction" as known from the issuance of land disturbing activity permits, another 1,909 actually going "vertical," in current construction, 305 more units "under review" and 1,727 with "zoning approved," for a total of 5,197 units "in pipeline" within the Statesboro city limits or pending annexations. 

Brooklet's big prospect

Meanwhile, Brooklet is "in correspondence" for a state-recognized "Development of Regional Impact," or DRI, the proposed 728-unit Waterford Subdivision, Pope noted. On the Georgia Department of Community Affairs website for DRI applications, a form submitted July 1 by the Brooklet city clerk cites a $254.8 million estimated build-out value and $3 million estimated annual local tax revenue for this subdivision.

Adding the unincorporated county area's 2,876 units, Statesboro's 5,197 units and Brooklet's 728 potential units from that one large subdivision, Pope arrived at a total of 8,801 housing units in the "five-year Bulloch County pipeline" as shown in a summary square in the lower righthand corner of the single-page report. It was actually Commissioner Ray Davis, not Pope, who talked about that portion of it.

Ray Davis' commentary

"I asked James Pope and his staff that he would bring us up to date on the number of houses that were available in this county, and he did so," Davis said. "If you'll look at the bottom righthand corner, based on the Georgia Tech study …  when you add up the number of houses, you have 8,801. Now, Mr. Pope's analyzation was over a five-year period. Georgia Tech's was over an eight-year period. Now, when you break that down, that's 977 houses per year. When you amortize it over five years, we've got 180% (of the) houses over the next five years that's needed, by the Georgia Tech study."

The corner summary on the slide showed the 7,815-unit "eight-year need" from the Georgia Tech study, as divided to 977 units per year and multiplied back to a five-year projection, for a 4,885-unit need over five years. The 8,801 units, if completed in five years, would exceed the annualized "need" by 80%.

Not all are houses

One fact missing from that summary and brief presentation was that not all of the planned or recently constructed housing "units" are actual single-family houses, or at least not in Statesboro. A significant fraction of the units that have been built are or currently "going vertical" in the city limits this year are apartments in complexes targeted to students, workers in need of "workforce housing" or senior citizens.

Another consideration, recognized in the Phase 1 study by the CEDR at Georgia Tech, is whether the homes being built are actually affordable to the people who need housing. Bulloch's median household income of $53,675 as of 2022 would put a $160,705 home in reach of the median-income household, according to the researchers, but the median price of a home sold in Bulloch County as of April 2024 was $307,700, and the average value of a home in Bulloch was $207,272 as determined by the county tax assessors. Now in the summer of 2025, the county government and school board in advertising tax increases are providing examples that apply the proposed millage rates to a $300,000 average market value for a homestead property.

Now the CEDR team is set to work on a Phase 2 housing study that involves the "outer ring" of counties — Candler, Evans, Screven, Tattnall, Long and Liberty — still in the one-hour drive time from the Hyundai plant, plus Bulloch County. Bulloch is the one county included in both phases.

Sign up for the Herald's free e-newsletter